Technology Predictor Success Matrix

I wrote several days ago about a great series Tim Bray has going on his blog, which builds/evaluates a Technology Predictor Success Matrix.

Please read the series – it’s worth it – but it’s worth noting that the predictor that seemed to hold up best for a variety of technologies was the 80/20 Point: This is the point where you’re enjoying (roughly) 80 percent of the benefits after only 20 percent of the work.

While an imperfect indicator, it was the strongest of all Bray examined.

Thoughts?